Canadian breakdown
Oct. 20th, 2015 07:09 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
calimacSince I haven't seen a province-by-province breakdown of the Canadian election results yet, here's one, from east to west:
Newfoundland: 7 Liberal (a gain of 3 from the previous election)
Prince Edward Island: 4 Liberal (gain of 1)
Nova Scotia: 11 Liberal (gain of 7)
New Brunswick: 10 Liberal (gain of 9, wow. Total loses in the 4 Atlantic provinces are 14 Conservative and 6 NDP)
Quebec: 40 Liberal, 16 NDP, 12 Conservative, 10 Bloc (with 3 new seats, that's a gain for the Liberals of 33, Conservatives of 7, and Bloc of 6 [but if that looks impressive, the Bloc used to get about 50], with the NDP the big losers, down net 43; still, 16 seats anywhere, let alone Quebec, is a great result for them historically)
Ontario: 80 Liberal, 33 Conservative, 8 NDP (with 15 new seats, that's a gain for the Liberals of 69, with the Conservatives losing net 40 and the NDP net 14)
Manitoba: 7 Liberal, 5 Conservative, 2 NDP (net movement of 6 seats from Conservative to Liberal)
Saskatchewan: 10 Conservative, 3 NDP, 1 Liberal (net movement of 3 seats from Conservative to NDP)
Alberta: 29 Conservative, 4 Liberal, 1 NDP (with 6 new seats, the Conservatives are up 2 and the Liberals 4, having not previously won a seat in Alberta since 2004)
British Columbia: 17 Liberal, 14 NDP, 10 Conservative, 1 Green (with 6 new seats, the Liberals are up by 15 and the NDP by 2, with the Conservatives losing net 11)
Territories: 3 Liberal (gain of 3, from 2 Conservatives and 1 NDP)
Total: 184 Liberal (54% of the seats), 99 Conservative (29%), 44 NDP (13%), 10 Bloc, 1 Green.
That makes Saskatchewan and Alberta both the only provinces without at least a Liberal plurality and the only ones that moved counter-cyclically (I told you they're still mad at Trudeau's father from 30 years ago).
The NDP has recovered slightly in its old home base of the west, while losing big in Quebec and the Atlantic, both new territory for them - they rarely won a seat in Quebec before their big blowout in 2011, or in the Atlantics before about 20 years ago. Their total of 13% of the seats is still their third-highest ever. The Conservatives funked out almost everywhere, recovering only a little in Quebec, rarely a good province for them anyway, and overall they've done worse, both in the distant past and in the 1990s right-wing schism. In percentage of seats won, this isn't the Liberals' biggest win ever - Pierre managed better in 1968, among others - but it's close, and it's their biggest single-election recovery ever after their worst result ever in the previous election. The Bloc, like the Conservatives, has recovered a little, but is still mostly cut out by the Liberals as they were last time by the NDP. And the Greens still have their leader's sole seat on Vancouver Island.
Newfoundland: 7 Liberal (a gain of 3 from the previous election)
Prince Edward Island: 4 Liberal (gain of 1)
Nova Scotia: 11 Liberal (gain of 7)
New Brunswick: 10 Liberal (gain of 9, wow. Total loses in the 4 Atlantic provinces are 14 Conservative and 6 NDP)
Quebec: 40 Liberal, 16 NDP, 12 Conservative, 10 Bloc (with 3 new seats, that's a gain for the Liberals of 33, Conservatives of 7, and Bloc of 6 [but if that looks impressive, the Bloc used to get about 50], with the NDP the big losers, down net 43; still, 16 seats anywhere, let alone Quebec, is a great result for them historically)
Ontario: 80 Liberal, 33 Conservative, 8 NDP (with 15 new seats, that's a gain for the Liberals of 69, with the Conservatives losing net 40 and the NDP net 14)
Manitoba: 7 Liberal, 5 Conservative, 2 NDP (net movement of 6 seats from Conservative to Liberal)
Saskatchewan: 10 Conservative, 3 NDP, 1 Liberal (net movement of 3 seats from Conservative to NDP)
Alberta: 29 Conservative, 4 Liberal, 1 NDP (with 6 new seats, the Conservatives are up 2 and the Liberals 4, having not previously won a seat in Alberta since 2004)
British Columbia: 17 Liberal, 14 NDP, 10 Conservative, 1 Green (with 6 new seats, the Liberals are up by 15 and the NDP by 2, with the Conservatives losing net 11)
Territories: 3 Liberal (gain of 3, from 2 Conservatives and 1 NDP)
Total: 184 Liberal (54% of the seats), 99 Conservative (29%), 44 NDP (13%), 10 Bloc, 1 Green.
That makes Saskatchewan and Alberta both the only provinces without at least a Liberal plurality and the only ones that moved counter-cyclically (I told you they're still mad at Trudeau's father from 30 years ago).
The NDP has recovered slightly in its old home base of the west, while losing big in Quebec and the Atlantic, both new territory for them - they rarely won a seat in Quebec before their big blowout in 2011, or in the Atlantics before about 20 years ago. Their total of 13% of the seats is still their third-highest ever. The Conservatives funked out almost everywhere, recovering only a little in Quebec, rarely a good province for them anyway, and overall they've done worse, both in the distant past and in the 1990s right-wing schism. In percentage of seats won, this isn't the Liberals' biggest win ever - Pierre managed better in 1968, among others - but it's close, and it's their biggest single-election recovery ever after their worst result ever in the previous election. The Bloc, like the Conservatives, has recovered a little, but is still mostly cut out by the Liberals as they were last time by the NDP. And the Greens still have their leader's sole seat on Vancouver Island.
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Date: 2015-10-20 02:32 pm (UTC)On the provincial level, the earthquakes have sometimes been bigger. The NDP winning Alberta earlier this year was perhaps the biggest ever, though Ontario had a similar earthquake in 1990, and watching the entire party systems restructure themselves in Quebec and Alberta in the 1970s, and in B.C. in the 1990s (in all 3 cases following a previous entire restructuring some 40 years earlier) has also been amusing.