http://kalimac.livejournal.com/ ([identity profile] kalimac.livejournal.com) wrote in [personal profile] calimac 2015-10-20 04:55 pm (UTC)

Well, the Greens got 54% in the seat they won, 33% in the one they came in second, and between 9%-20% in the other seats on the island. They didn't do better than 9% in any other seat in the province. I suspect the concentration of counter-cultural types on the island in general and its SE side in particular.

The NDP is descended from an old labor coalition, and there's still a strong labor tradition in the timber and mining areas of BC. So the NDP does best in some of the rougher interior areas and in the working-class areas of the Vancouver metropolis (mostly on the east side).

The Conservative stronghold, even more than the middle-class Vancouver suburbs, is the more genteel settled Okanagan area of the interior.

Liberals seem to do best in the more upscale areas of the north Vancouver region and in the main city, the parts that look like the north side of Seattle.

I get a sense, looking over the statistics for BC, that on the federal level the NDP and Liberals are competing for the same audience, and there's a lot of tactical voting between them, because their strong districts tend to be mutually exclusive. It's quite different in BC provincial politics, where the NDP and Liberals are the two main parties and form a dichotomy. The BC provincial Liberals are rather conservative, and I suspect the provincial NDP attract a lot of federal Liberals. (The provincial parties and the federal parties of the same names are now entirely separate legal entities, and there's no obligation for a politician to support the same party on both levels. Tom Mulcair, the NDP national leader, was for a long time active in the Quebec provincial Liberals, because there essentially is no provincial NDP there.)

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